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🚨 POLL 🚨
🅰️ Do you believe $ASTS has the potential to become a $1T company?🛰️🇺🇸
70%🔘 Yes, absolutely
17%🔘 Possible this decade
10%🔘 Maybe, not $1T
4%🔘 No chance
570 votes • Final results$ASTS Must read!🔥 Blue Origin’s reported $140B private valuation shows what investors will pay for the future of space infrastructure.
AST’s opportunity? Commercial broadband + government services + its own planned reusable rocket made by Firefly. 🛰️🚀🇺🇸
Blacklift will give AST greater control over deployment, launch costs and constellation expansion, supporting the recurring revenue business behind it. A necessary hedge that will allow the demand for these satellites a continuous route to orbit.
In my view, that strategic potential deserves a meaningful premium TODAY! The rerating is coming! With more earned as development milestones are delivered.
Execute on the network, scale revenue and make Blacklift operational, and a $100B–$140B valuation becomes a scenario worth discussing.
At the same assumed share count.
💰 $100B = $254/share
💰 $140B = $355.60/share
Management is FIRED UP! 🔥
Abel: “We are done waiting.”
Andy: “AST is inevitable!”
Earnings is Monday, November 9. Blacklift unveiling Thursday, November 12 in NYC. Two opportunities to show investors the scale of what’s coming.
Next week will be electric!⚡️ Bring the vision. Bring the execution. Bring the receipts!💰🇺🇸🚀🛰️
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS Phase of absolute shock is over. Time to absorb information.
Just had breakfast over this interview which is a very good one to see who we´re dealing with.
youtube.com/watch?v=OKV4yyLO…
I´m sorry FireFly I wasn´t familiar with your game.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS a 6 days old chart. But it’s the concept. I’m after.
When the market answers the question ”Can they deploy at scale” with ”Yes!”
Then the share price will skyrocket.
And the company answered this question in 4 ways yesterday.
YES we can short term; Bc we have DPAS!
YES we can medium timeframe. Bc we have NSSL for some and added ~40 satellites to our existing launch contracts that now are 100!
YES we can long term. Bc we’ll build our own rocket.
That’s a triple tap at the precise point I asked for 6 days ago.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
THIS IS THE POWER BEHIND $ASTS BLACKLIFT!
Here's Firefly Aerospace's MIRANDA engine putting on a show.
These engines are expected to power AST SpaceMobile's BLACKLIFT rocket, designed to launch up to five BlueBird or BlackBird satellites in a single mission.
A major step toward greater control over satellite deployment and launch capacity.
Big ambitions from $ASTS and $FLY. Now it's all about execution.
#ASTS #Space
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS - BLACKLIFT by Claude.
claude.ai/artifact/P1rUj2cpw…
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
3 PRs. The third: We are now priority rated by the US Government and a) our launch contracts are not going to be fucked with anymore, b) we are getting additional launch contracts and c) if we have any supplier problems, men in black show up and help us.
$ASTS
I promise you the markets do not appreciate what they announced on Friday related to DPAS. I think the first people to figure it out with be the shorts. They will see the parallels between prior government interventions and get out of the way.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
📣100 Birds Booked
External multi-launch agreements now cover 100+ BlueBirds across 2027-2028. Blacklift is the parallel path; near-term launch is not waiting on it.
nitter.cf/CatSE___ApeX___/status…
nitter.cf/spacanpanman/status/21…
nitter.cf/CatSE___ApeX___/status…
Small update. $ASTS
+100 satellites worth of external launches under contract 👏and
+plans for a reusable Falcon 9 size inhouse rocket called Blacklift.🚀
This is the strategy of parallell paths at every stage that avoids single point of failure in every phase. Also for launch.
Without going to extremes that voids the benefits. (33 engines on a single launch vehicle is extreme) better have access to multiple variants of launch vehicles.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
That DPAS (Defense Priority Allocation System) is the most meaningful and bullish statement in the PR IMHO.
It tells that $ASTS is a member in good standung, of the National Security power elite without spelling it.
$ASTS: “@AST_SpaceMobile will continue to use external providers, with agreements now covering in total over 100 BlueBird satellites to be deployed cumulatively between 2027 and 2028. The company also has access to further launches for U.S. Government missions alongside its Defense Priorities and Allocations System (DPAS) rated program.”
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS: On November 17, 11:00 to 11:45 AM EST, @scottwisniews will be on a D2D Connectivity panel with Ram Viswanathan, CSO, @elveomobile and Mark Dankberg, CEO, @viasat, moderated by Bryan Kraft of @DeutscheBank. 🍿
This will take place at the Deutsche Bank's Global Space and Defense Tech Summit at the Deutsche Bank Center in New York.
Panel Description:
D2D Connectivity
Due to the growing interest in providing connectivity by satellites directly to smartphones, the D2D market has become an exciting area in the Space industry involving the largest entities in both traditional telecom and next-gen satcom. As technology continues to advance, particularly with regard to data and voice, a dynamic market could emerge that will optimize affordability and service quality. As new offerings come online, we expect a lively debate on the best approaches amongst participants regarding spectrum, market size, business model, ARPU, and much more.
conferences.db.com/files/doc…
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
Here is where I land on the $ASTS blacklift news:
- If the first 100 BBs are covered by third-party launch agreements, Blacklift is a call option.
- This is why you invest in management. This is a big brass balls move. They aren’t playing around and I trust that they’ve thought this through.
- for better or worse, this is narrative changing. People value SpaceX’s launch business not for the actual business of putting other companies’ cargo in orbit, but for putting their own up there. We can now go to investors and say we are SpaceX at an absolute fraction of the value. That helps the story and narrative.
- AST is more risky than it was a week ago. That risk will be discounted by the market. But at the same time, to make this move and think the demand is there for the economics to pay off, the upside must be materially higher than we ever dreamed too. Higher risk, higher reward. I think that’s abundantly clear now and I hope management tells us more on the call.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS What it feels like to ride a stock from $133 down to $29, only to wake up and find out we’ve decided to build rockets now.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS I think some people may be jumping to the wrong conclusion about today’s Blacklift announcement.
Yes, AST has acknowledged the importance of having greater control over launch capacity. But that doesn’t mean they’re giving up on commercial launch providers or that they’ve exhausted their options.
In fact, the announcement explicitly confirms that AST will CONTINUE using external launch providers, with existing agreements covering more than 100 BlueBird satellites scheduled for deployment during 2027–2028.
Blacklift is a longer-term addition to that strategy, with operations targeted to begin in late 2028.
I see another potentially much bigger strategic consideration here ✨The government and sovereign infrastructure opportunity.
We’re entering an era where governments are recognizing the importance of having secure, independent communications infrastructure. National security, defense, emergency communications, and sovereign control over critical networks are becoming increasingly important. Even dire.
And just think what’s happening with Starshield in Ukraine. Recent service restrictions affecting Ukrainian military operations have shown potential vulnerabilities of relying on commercially controlled satellite infrastructure, especially during geopolitical conflicts.
That doesn’t mean governments are abandoning SpaceX (yet) but it definitely reinforces the value of having alternatives and greater control.
Let’s all try to remember that AST specifically identified government radar, secure government communications, IoT, federal emergency services, AI edge computing, and additional funded networks as opportunities that Blacklift could help address.
✨ This is potentially about much more than getting BlueBirds into orbit. ✨
And don’t forget, Amazon didn’t abandon outside launch providers when developing its own constellation. It intentionally diversified its launch arrangements to reduce scheduling risk and to maintain flexibility. Multiple deployment pathways are a strategic advantage. Not a contradiction or cause to panic. Critical thinning, a cool head, and removal of emotion over SP are key here.
I also think we should recognize what vertical integration could mean for AST’s long-term economics. A reusable rocket capable of deploying up to five BlueBirds per launch, with control over its own manufacturing and launch schedule, could fundamentally change the economics and scalability of the business.
Of course, Blacklift is a substantial investment, and there are real execution, financing considerations. We shouldn’t dismiss those. But I don’t think this announcement should automatically be interpreted as a sign of desperation or a lack of launch options.
I see a company potentially positioning itself to control more of its infrastructure, expand its addressable market, serve additional government customers, and reduce its dependence on an increasingly constrained launch industry.
And also important ✨ AST isn’t waiting until 2028 to deploy satellites. The existing external launch strategy continues. ✨
Let’s hear management explain the bigger picture on Monday’s earnings call before we assume the worst.
Think bigger than the rocket. Think about the infrastructure AST is positioning itself to own.
AST SpaceMobile to Build Own 20-Ton Rocket to Deploy BlueBird Satellites in Low Earth Orbit Using Miranda Engines from Firefly Aerospace.
businesswire.com/news/home/2…
#ASTSpaceMobile #Broadband #ConnectingtheUnconnected #BlueBirds #Blacklift
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS: Multi-Launch Agreements contracted for +100 satellites over 2027-2028
AND
"The company also has access to further launches for U.S. Government missions alongside its Defense Priorities and Allocations System (DPAS) rated program."
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
$ASTS $FLY: As people do research over the weekend, Northrop’s involvement in Eclipse / Antares development should be highlighted.
An AI summary below:
Northrop Grumman’s partnership with Firefly Aerospace provides significant technical credibility, financial backing, and institutional validation of Firefly’s rocket development capabilities. Northrop is one of America’s largest defense contractors, with decades of experience developing launch vehicles, propulsion systems, and military space infrastructure. Its partnership with Firefly began in 2022 to develop the Antares 330 rocket and subsequently expanded to the larger, reusable Eclipse launch vehicle. Northrop also invested $50 million in Firefly in 2025 to accelerate Eclipse development. This relationship demonstrates that Firefly’s technology is sufficiently promising for a major defense prime to commit engineering resources, capital, and its reputation to a multiyear development program.
The most important benefit to AST SpaceMobile is that BlackLift will leverage an engine platform already being developed with Northrop’s engineering expertise and oversight. Firefly’s Miranda engines power the first stage of Antares 330 and Eclipse, while its Vira engines power Eclipse’s upper stage. By selecting these same engine families, AST avoids starting propulsion development from scratch and benefits from testing, qualification, manufacturing infrastructure, and technical improvements across multiple rocket programs. Northrop’s participation helps reduce propulsion-related technical risk, although it does not eliminate the challenges of integrating the engines into AST’s larger, reusable BlackLift rocket.
Strategically, Northrop’s involvement strengthens the credibility of AST’s ambitious plan to vertically integrate launch capabilities by late 2028. AST’s agreement with Firefly exceeds $1.3 billion and includes 36 engines for its first three BlackLift rockets, engineering support, and perpetual manufacturing licenses. This provides AST access to propulsion technology supported by an established aerospace development ecosystem while enabling eventual in-house engine production. It could also create indirect advantages for future national-security opportunities, given Northrop’s extensive defense relationships. However, Northrop is not currently an announced BlackLift partner, and there is no indication it guarantees AST’s launch schedule or government contracts. For AST investors, the key takeaway is that BlackLift is a more credible undertaking because AST is buying into an existing, substantially developed propulsion architecture rather than attempting to invent an entirely new rocket engine.
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
You don’t short a company when a CEO comes out like this and buried in the last sentence of the press release is a government acronym that says the US government is also done waiting and is going to push this company through
$ASTS
They’re about five people in the world that has spent as much time as I have studying each intricate detail of this company and I know exactly what this fucking means
We are done waiting. We are on to satellite 51 - the largest spacecrafts ever in LEO! and we are not stopping. Blacklift: built for BlueBird, built to fly!. Join me at the unveiling webcast event on Thursday, November 12 investors.ast-science.com/ 🤠🇺🇸
Jon🅰️than Cooper retweeted
I’ve been turning this news in my head. At first glance, AST deciding to build a 20-ton rocket sounds like a massive, capital-burning distraction, especially since we've always prided ourselves on being "launch-agnostic."
But the more I think about it, the more I start to like it.
After the New Glenn anomaly, SpaceX pausing Falcon 9 launches, and ULA and Ariane being booked out for years, it's quite obvious that there is a severe launch capacity scarcity out there. We need to be masters of our own destiny. If you're building a LEO constellation, your biggest existential bottleneck isn't just the phased array tech but also the launch capacity. Waiting on other providers' manifests means absorbing their delays and setbacks.
As mentioned in the press release, they are not starting a rocket from scratch, by using Firefly’s flight-proven Miranda engines, they are skipping several years of core propulsion R&D. And making this a 3-stage rocket exclusively for AST satellites? When you only launch one highly specific, repetitive payload, you don't need to engineer for commercial rideshares or other companies payload. It should be a more straightforward, mission-specific bus. As a bonus, by not entering the commercial launch market, AST avoids becoming a direct competitor to any existing launch provider.
Then there is the Midland spaceport news that just came out. Manufacturing the largest commercial arrays in LEO and having a launch site right next door in Texas... the logistics get incredibly lean. Build it, roll it out, launch it with your own rocket.
And I don't think the naming is a coincidence. BlackLift was announced right on the heels of the government contracts (and I assume more will come, can't wait for the earnings results next monday). A dedicated, sovereign, secure pipeline to orbit for defense payloads, USG radar, and secure comms. This expands the TAM massively, and it's exactly the kind of sovereign capability the DoD loves to fund.
Also, factor in the 136 BlueBirds for J-LEO (Japan), the 344 D-BlueBirds for Germany (EU), and the undisclosed amount for the US gov... we are talking about hundreds, if not thousands, of satellites. So, honestly? Maybe building our own rocket isn't such a bad idea after all.
Now, I’m looking at their 2028 timeline and I'm not naive. It’s a mirage. In aerospace, timelines always slip (just look at every other existing rocket company in the world). If this thing is flying by 2030 or 2032, I’ll consider it already a success.
But the realization I came to is: the timeline doesn't actually matter.
The first 100 satellites are already funded. They will fly on existing rockets, securing global coverage and bringing in that massive cellular revenue long before BlackLift ever reaches a pad.
As an investor, my only real red flag here is the funding mechanism. Rockets burn cash. If BlackLift is financed through USG grants, defense prepayments, and incoming telecom revenue, this is an absolute masterstroke. If it turns into a vehicle for endless equity dilution... well, that’s a different story.
Execution is everything, and I like it much better when AST is shaping its own destiny.
$ASTS
AST, a satellite company that competes against SpaceX, announced that it is building its own rocket that will be powered by engines from Firefly bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
































