stack owl (@stackowl) header
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Joined August 2021
Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)Photo by stack owl (@stackowl)
An annotated timeline of some markets
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Replying to @factor_members
Oh. Like accidental size or something?
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stack owl retweeted
I knew that the Anthropic S1 would have some goofy risk factors but this has to take the cake
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The longer you do this job, the more you realize how much of finance is just everybody asking everybody else what they should think.
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stack owl retweeted
updated my priors
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Replying to @factor_members
Take care Peter. 馃檹
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<insert Anakin Skywalker / Natalie Portman meme here> 馃槀
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Replying to @John_Hempton
Ughh. Saw this a couple of days too late! Would have loved to. Otoh, glad the luggage arrived finally.
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Thanks, @xkcd
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One of the benefits of the AI boom is that it gave us the word "slop." A perfect word, not only to describe the verbal garbage that AI generates, but that humans generate as well.
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stack owl retweeted
I was fortunate to have worked for @VicNiederhoffer in 2010/2011 and to have had him as my thesis advisor in grad school (paper on stat arb in ag futures based on cobweb theorem). I learned a lot from him about trading and life. Such a character. Endlessly curious. A genius if ever there was one. Sad to hear he is gone but glad I got to know him and that he shared so much with me and the world. Need some time to properly pay homage in writing. For now, RIP Vic.
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Rest in peace Victor Niederhoffer 馃檹
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Esp front end (2y and stir futures) have had brutal whipsaws
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Replying to @factor_members
Rates / bond futures would be v instructive pls
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Replying to @factor_members
Yes pls. Esp some more recent ones if possible. Thanks
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The focus on the hold / hike decision is just a red herring. Markets actually had a relief rally with no hike because FFQ6 was pricing in a 33% chance. But the curve steepening is the Fed losing credibility- with the 30y selloff
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Replying to @inflectionecon
The long bond would have rallied and curve massively flattened
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Replying to @factor_members
Inverted chair - took a second to see this is a flipped chart!
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