Building Latino political power through media & innovation. Co-founder @EquisResearch, @Poderistas, LMN. #NMTrue 🌶️
Santa Fe, NM
Joined March 2010
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Stephanie Valencia retweeted
The essential FIU Cuba poll is out. Lots to say on the Cuba front, but for the midterm watchers: no sea-change among Cubans in Miami-Dade. There is some Trump discontent & signs the vote could return to '20 levels, but party ID is stable since '24.
ics.fiu.edu/research/fiu-cub…
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Wait! So one of Gina’s top 5 donors is a party committee that helps elect Senators (♥️♥️Thank you♥️) but NOT the committee that actually helps Democratic Governors? (🤨🤨🤨) FML
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
.@Timodc and @BillKristol on Gina Hinojosa's unexpectedly competitive challenge to Greg Abbott in Texas and why Democrats may be overlooking a historic opportunity to flip the governor's mansion:
"Abbott is struggling. It's winnable. Crazy things happen in wave years."
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
NEW: Hispanic voters in TX broke for Trump in 2024. In our most recent @equisresearch poll, they've swung all the way back to 2018 levels, landing at 63% for @TeamTalaricoHQ & 64% for @GinaHinojosaTX (in 2-way/undecideds allocated proportionally). tinyurl.com/equistxpoll
NEW in @playbookdc:
September polling from @EquisResearch finds that among likely Latino voters, Texas Dem governor candidate @GinaHinojosaTX leads Greg Abbott 59-35, a sign of the growing strength of her campaign.
Her biggest issue: name ID. 27% of Texas Latinos can't rate Hinojosa.
The new numbers come as Latino Democrats urge the Democratic Governors Association to put money behind Hinojosa.
She currently faces a huge financial disadvantage and is being outspent by Abbott roughly 10-to-1.
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
PINNED: As Kentucky Gov @AndyBeshearKY and @DemGovs continue facing pressure to invest at least $10 million in @GinaHinojosaTX’s Texas gubernatorial campaign, at least 100 people are wearing these “Invest in Gina” pins tonight at the @CHCI gala.
Beshear/DGA has so far resisted doing so, arguing investments in other state Gov races are better investments. Latino leaders argue even a little $$ might help her chances against @GregAbbott_TX.
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
My friend Victor from La Mega understands the difference between showing up for your neighbors and just showing up for yourself. That's the choice in this race.
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
23 years ago, I made the most difficult decision of my life. It’s how I learned my own strength, and now I fight for every Texas family.
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Second big question is if a few mega donors decide to make Gina Hinojosa competitive financially. Texas is a no limit state so a single billionaire could cut a check for $50 million and completely change the dynamic. Does a summer of close polling get someone off the sidelines?
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Equis never released a 2024 post-mortem. We came to realize we needed to wrap our minds around an era, not an election. Out of that comes The New Dynamic, a project from me & @RachelMStein1 to look at Latino voters (and the broader electorate) with fresh eyes.
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Our dials are clear: Americans don't want Trump focused on foreign wars, they just want lower costs at home.
. Dear @AmericanAir
I’m a loyal customer. Platinum pro. Over 40 trips last year.
Cancelled flight in Phx to LAX last night. Not directly due to weather but not enough gates to put our plane.
Missed an impt interview this morning and another appt where I can’t get deposit back
Booked my own hotel ($200 bc anything close to airport sold out and wasn’t about to stand in another 3 hour line).
When I arrived to LA went to bag claim to get status of bags. Was told I have to come retrieve bags bc I flew on another carrier “due to policy” they won’t deliver
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Tavern Research polled overnight and found Dems are on strong ground to demand an end to ICE abuses. A pretty Trump-friendly sample and the numbers are still strong.
Full results here: tavernresearch.com/research-…
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Tavern Research polled the shutdown question last night, and found that the public supports a shutdown to achieve better oversight over ICE by a healthy margin. Full results here tavernresearch.com/research-…
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
A statement from the family of Alex Pretti, obtained by CNN:
"We are heartbroken but also very angry.
Alex was a kindhearted soul who cared deeply for his family and friends and also the American veterans whom he cared for as an ICU nurse at the Minneapolis VA hospital. Alex wanted to make a difference in this world. Unfortunately he will not be with us to see his impact. I do not throw around the hero term lightly. However his last thought and act was to protect a woman.
The sickening lies told about our son by the administration are reprehensible and disgusting. Alex is clearly not holding a gun when attacked by Trump’s murdering and cowardly ICE thugs. He has his phone in his right hand and his empty left hand is raised above his head while trying to protect the woman ICE just pushed down all while being pepper sprayed.
Please get the truth out about our son. He was a good man. Thank you."
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
Magaziner: How many US military veterans have you deported?
Noem: Sir, we have not deported U.S. Citizens or military veterans.
Magaziner: We are joined on zoom by a gentleman who is army combat veteran who was shot twice while serving our country in Panama in 1989. Earlier this year, you deported him to Korea. Can you please tell Mr. Park why you deported him?
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
In the Miami mayoral, the Dem (Higgins) over-performed 2024 presidential in predominantly Cuban (+8), non-Cuban Hispanic (+9), Black (+9), and White (+11) precincts-- over-performance across the board.
Results as of 7:43et.
Stephanie Valencia retweeted
ICYMI: Our latest poll at @EquisResearch shows signs that Trump’s businessman image may be eroding among Latinos, and they’re losing faith in his ability to handle the economy.
