Proven, systematic share market investment strategies. Membership | Managed Accounts Tweets by Nick Radge https://nitter.cf/t.co/3g2Q8FGR86
Joined March 2009
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Main trading account has given a little back over the last few months, but we know it's a bumpy road to outperformance.
10-year CAGR running at 32.45%.
Remember, a simple strategy applied for the long-term is all you need.
#next1000trades
Lots of people are applauding yesterday's meteoric rise on the #ASX with the usual "you can't time the market" and other basic motherhood statements.
But buried beneath the hood, like many passive strategies, there looms significant hardship.
Example:
The $MTUM ETF has been a rip-roaring success since its launch in 2013.
But doing some basic homework reveals that, had the ETF been around in 2008, the equity decline would have been nearer -56% and taken quite a few years to recover.
And don't tell me that you would've averaged down into that decline. I'll call BS. I was there in 2008. The world was ending. Sh*t stuck to everything, and nobody wanted to own anything.
I agree you can't time the daily noise. But the daily noise is the start of larger dislocations that can be timed.
I'd like to feel sorry, but seriously?
Step 1: take responsibility for your own shit show
Step 2: Refer step 1.
I've been watching a guy elsewhere over the last 18 months. An absolute train wreck attempt at systematic trading.
He changes strategy during each drawdown. I think he's now switched 4 times. Doesn't use non-survivorship bias data from @NorgateData. Clearly curve fits and generally has NFI of what's he's doing, yet he's keen on lecturing others on how it gets done.
I'm just lucky I learnt to trade back in the 80's before today's BS
#ASX is telling a bit of a story at the moment. Be interesting to see if it continues in the months ahead.
Oct 2026
Large Caps +2.0%
Small Caps: -6.4%
#Budget2026 #Labour
I'm in. For 3 reasons...
1. He's honest
2. He has a Telegram channel
3. He has a money printer
... what could possibly go wrong?
#ASX MTD:
Large Caps: +0.6%
Small Caps: -6.6%
Significant switching ahead of rate rises and 2027 tax changes. Expect it to continue...
Trading success isn’t in the perfect entry.
It’s in the calm between trades.
I may not always have the biggest winners, the highest win rate, or the most profit.
But I take a loss without flinching, stick to the process, and treat every signal as if the last one never happened.
#next1000trades
I'm reading on some forums that momentum, trend following, and mechanical systematic trading are dead.
Again.
Apparently, this time it's due to 24-hour trading.
I'm 40 years into this game.
I heard it when pricing went decimal.
I heard it when trading floors closed.
I heard it when bond yields started rising.
I'm sure there were times I didn't hear it, but it was being said by someone somewhere.
Below is the simulated equity curve of my main US momentum model, which was launched in 2015 and built on data from 1995.
It has 4 rules.
Using that model, on that data, and tested back to 1955, it's hard to suggest that anything has changed.
#Next1000trades
About 4 years of drawdowns across the full portfolio of strategies. Current drawdown: -7.55%
Get comfortable with drawdowns. They're the price of playing...
#next1000trades
The Chartist retweeted
Hey @nehal_rm1 happy to have this conversation with you. Let’s talk about what it means to be a profitable trader. Since September 1, you’ve had 35 PRO+ live trading accounts. You have gone max loss in 21 accounts and you took out profits in 14 accounts. Your live trading resulted in a net loss of $6,100 across all these accounts. So, you are not net profitable - even though you took withdrawals.
In total though, you lost $56,000 of our live trading capital (net of the 10% profit share we got on your withdrawals) because of the way you cycled through accounts. It's a good trade for you - you got $67k in payouts from your PRO+ accounts. All the while not actually being a profitable trader in the market.
But we're not going to enable this reckless behavior more. All of your max loss accounts happened within a day of the account even opening. In four trading days alone, you lost $89,685 in live trading capital.
Did you have some good days? Two. A $30k and a $20k day. And you showed some promise. The second to last set of PRO+ accounts were profitable. That's why we initially gave you an exception for PRO+ Development. We always try to give traders the benefit of the doubt. We're rooting for you. And then you lost $18,000 of live capital in one day on 10/13. The same day those live accounts were opened.
So no, right now, we’re not going to give you a full $20k again to lose in live markets. It’s not OK to lose $20k and close your accounts in one day. And we think you know that…
- @markrmeadows, Director of Trading Risk
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Despite global volatility and waning investor sentiment, our All-Weather strategy is 0.73% from its equity high.
A very defensive stance and long $PDBC are helping the cause.
#next1000trades
Asking for a friend...
How does an equity growth fund with a 19-year CAGR of +3.45% have $600mm in AUM?
