Trapping Value

What a disaster. Imagine running 11X Debt to EBITDA and valuing your properties at twice the level they actually are. This could have been saved in 2023. Just needed to sell half the portfolio. But that would require confessing that NAV was only $25. Today it is probably $7.

$AP.UN Allied once again shows that no matter how bad their decisions are, they can always do worse. Issuing stock now after years of claiming $50 plus NAVs. Debt to E will be double digits till 2027 end. After $500 million of issuance. alliedreit.com/wp-content/up…

If there’s one photo to sum up the Trump era, this is it.

Looks like the whole world is catching on that Tom Hofstedter at $HR.UN is trying to cheat his unitholders. Problem for him is big funds have too and when he loses the vote he will be faced with three choices: (1) sell the REIT for cash quickly, (2) resign, (3) get fired.

The NYT confirms Haaretz's report that Benjamin Netanyahu was secretly warned before Oct. 7, 2023 by the Emirati president that Hamas planned a major attack, per 2 sources The warning was not shared with Israeli security chiefs, per 5 ex-officials nytimes.com/2026/09/25/world…

Allow me to interpret what’s happening. Anthropic is being audited. Anthropic desires to file an S-1, as they would like to go public. Therefore they need an audit. And by “they”, I mean the VC’s who invested in them. So “they” can exit their position and pass the bag to firemen, nurses, teachers and policemen. How does this go from the VC’s to the working man and woman? Because the size of the IPO will automatically qualify Anthropic for the Fortune 500 and the Dow Jones 100. Therefore, every working person with a 401k or pension will end up owning a little bit of Anthropic in their mutual funds. Teachers hold the bag, VC’s take the cash. Thank you, come again. Now back to the audit. The audit required is a PCAOB audit, Public Company Accounting Oversight Board. This audit is what all public companies must comply with be on the stock market. Revenue recognition, expense classification, depreciation, related party transactions, etc. It’s there for consumer protection. This audit is TOUGH. It is INVASIVE. There is no way to lie your way through it. Any company that passes a PCAOB audit automatically earns my trust on finances. How do I know? Because I’ve been through it before. @ChangRobotics is 2 year PCAOB audited and currently underway for a 3 year audit. It’s brutal. The same as showing up as the valedictorian to your high school graduation, except you’re naked, and you have to walk on stage and deliver the speech. It’s rough. And I know many incredible founders that can’t pass one. Now, why would Anthropic be leaking all kind of weird statements lately about “self pacing” a slow down on AI (e.g. they are WAY behind on revenue), and profitable if they didn’t have expenses (e.g. we just learned for the first time what our expenses are, because we’re being audited). Because they were claiming NVIDIA discounts and Microsoft cloud credits as revenue. Because they had no clue what their expenses were, or why it even mattered. Because they had unlimited investor capital and their job was to burn it to make an LLM. Well, they did a great job with that! That’s the same as my wife coming home with Bed Bath and Beyond coupons and telling me it’s her paycheck. Ummm, not the same, sweetheart. So by now hopefully you can see that Anthropic is in a PCAOB audit right now, in order to file an S-1 and go public, and pass the bag to teachers so the VC’s get profits. And hopefully that explains their “crazy” behavior. In reality you can be grateful to KPMG, PWC, or whoever is auditing Anthropic, because it’s the first time Dario learned that: 1) we are not profitable 2) expenses matter 3) coupons are not revenue 4) we have no clue how to be “profitable” 5) growth is hard when revenue numbers are in an audit and not a power point -your neighborhood engineer