Or maybe rural white voters stay home?
Trump spent a decade promising them he’d revitalize their towns & hoodwinked them with culture wars
He’s not done a thing for them & they’re hardest hit by Trump’s inflation from tariffs & gas prices
Eventually the bill comes due 🤷♂️
I understand the NYT’s decision to release the polls (they cost a LOT of money), but this caveat cannot be overstated. Obviously the GOP is behind *across* the polling, but if the under sampling bias of white, disproportionately rural/GOP voters is systemic, then these polls are indeed inflating Dem performance and these races are much narrower than the CW
Bookmarking!
I nailed all my election predictions in 2024, not so much in 2022. Here are my 2026 calls with a reminder that all of you should get out and vote. Byron Donalds wins Florida Gov comfortably. Senate: Ken Paxton wins Texas, Mike Rogers wins Michigan, Jon Husted wins Ohio, Ashley Hinson wins Iowa, Susan Collins wins Maine, the real Dan Sullivan wins Alaska, Kansas, South Carolina & Nebraska aren’t close, Republicans win senate races easily in those states. Polls are badly biased against Republicans for the 16th out of the past 17 election cycles.
IMO it’s really easy to see why GOP will over perform the polls and the polls simply aren’t capturing GOP enthusiasm and persuasion among a huge chunk of voters imo
Only issue that matters this year is prices w/ corruption a distant 2nd
Trump solely made prices worse w/ tariffs + the war, while insider trading off in broad daylight
Rural voters are most hurt by prices + Latinos pissed over ICE
Trump spent the year raving about a ballroom
Claude slop lol
Replying to @JRKennellyGOP
Bottom line for FL GOV race:
The early electorate looks like a Democratic turnout year, not 2022.
If the 1.1M hold-out Republicans show: @ByronDonalds R +0.8 (I had R +0.9 Thursday).
If they come in soft: @DavidJollyFL.
Tuesday decides it. Lock in. 🗳🇺🇸
Just the perfect example of why Ben Shapiro is a lowbrow political hack whose career is based around reacting to obscure TikTok videos and debating college kids for clicks
Barack Obama is in Michigan. Kamala Harris is in New Hampshire. If Democrats are really running away with this election, what are their top surrogates doing in states they’re already supposed to win?
youtube.com/watch?v=wtqPPyy6…
drew retweeted
The poorest Americans lose and the richest gain under Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill,” per the Congressional Budget Office.
Average yearly change in household resources, 2026–2034:
Poorest 10%: -$1,214 (about 3% of income)
Richest 10%: +$13,622 (about 2.7% of income)
Argument for GOP: they’ve over performed polls before
Argument against: inflation is the only issue (with a dash of corruption) & Trump added tariffs + started a dumb war that jacked up prices while he insider traded & has given no reason to vote GOP
drew retweeted
The Jonestown analogy is so good. People sipping the poison right in front of him.
Give this man a Pulitzer.
drew retweeted
10x more antisemitic than anything Hasan Piker has said and you’re not going to hear a blip from the cable pundits
(Meidaite) Republican Senator Says Non-Christians Are Unfit for Senate: "Should Be Nowhere Near Washington"
Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-OH) said on Wednesday night that anyone who does not believe that Jesus died for their salvation is unfit to serve in the Senate and “should be nowhere near Washington.”
mediaite.com/media/tv/republ…
I’ve waited years to hear this
Dems spent a decade attacking Trump for racism & authoritarianism, which fed image Trump wanted as a strongman/not PC “tell it like it is” type
Mocking him for being a pathetic loser with the vocabulary of a 3rd grader was always the better play
Abdul El-Sayed: “We are being actively bullied by the dumbest people in the room. Donald Trump is an idiot. He has one genius which is getting attention. Because his dad never gave him enough, because he was a nepo baby, he craved attention and used the bullying tactics to get it. But the man is an idiot. Just a fool”
drew retweeted
This is probably more revealing of GOP enthusiasm than every poll released thus far.
"In the past decade, none of the three biggest cable news outlets have suffered a decline in the month before a national election as big as Fox News did this year." hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-…
drew retweeted
It's infuriating that this wasn't the normalized approach for like 5-10 yrs.
Just forced to watch the press/pundits pretend to take incoherent "policies" seriously, even auto-paraphrasing Trump remarks as if we dont already know he's clueless and winging it. ENOUGH. FINALLY.
Abdul El-Sayed: “We are being actively bullied by the dumbest people in the room. Donald Trump is an idiot. He has one genius which is getting attention. Because his dad never gave him enough, because he was a nepo baby, he craved attention and used the bullying tactics to get it. But the man is an idiot. Just a fool”

























