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Value Analyst Providing Outside Idea Generation & Research Services. Access Free Research: https://nitter.cf/t.co/f5vYmGVLp2 Not Investment Advice

Joined February 2023
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Cheaper than at the beginning of the year. However, the market materially improved. Utilisation is approaching 100%. Dayrates are increasing. $RIG $VAL $NE $SDRL $ODL.OL $BORR
$RIG $VAL $NE $SDRL fell >15% together with oil prices. The sell-off coincides with earnings season. All teams signalled a tightening market not driven by oil prices. Noble: Not hard to draw a line to a fully sold-out market. This is the setup for surging dayrates. Free post👇
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
"Core Natural Resources ($CNR — Buy, $122 PT), Warrior Met Coal ($HCC — Buy, $122 PT), and Peabody Energy ($BTU) trade at spot 2027 FCFE yields of 15.0%, 16.0%, and 21.0%."
B Riley has $HCC and $CNR at 14% FCF yield in FY27 at spot
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
TRANSOCEAN - when white space goes dark - (ie to zero) & industry consolidation ( $rig + $val ) allows more disciplined management of supply, with FID by OilCos for offshore capex increasing, & the best & most experienced team of execs in charge of the best assets. What happens?
Replying to @Ultradeep3
If Mykonos is extended, and assuming it should not be difficult for Atlas to secure a contract for its open window, they will be basically sold out for 2027.
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Big shout out to @RockwoodNotes who nailed this back in May. You can find his write up for FactSet on rockwoodnotes.com.
if someone told you they found a crystal ball and it said AI is coming to kill info services but you have to pick one one stock to own from the US blue chips, not sure 1% of people would have picked $FDS yet here it is, best performing name over the last 1y period
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
$SDRL announces several new contracts and extensions. 7G DS West Carina sticks out with a 880 day contract with a total value of $420m including mob fee but not including additonal services ($477k/day). Contract has priced options for up to another 880 days. $RIG $NE $VAL $TDW
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
$OIH $RIG $VAL $SDRL $BORR Offshore FIDs projections per Baclays/Woodmac, 2025 increasingly looks like the local bottom
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
*TOTAL CEO SAYS `TOO MUCH' REFINING IS OFFLINE AHEAD OF WINTER For months, CEOs of the world’s biggest oil companies have been warning that winter could bring a major problem. Outside the oil industry, hardly anyone seems to care.
$VLO $410! Analysts expect Valero to earn $18.52 per share in Q3. Then they expect EPS to fall sharply to $11.80, and then to $8.48 in Q1 2027. They still seem to believe we are at the worst point of the crisis now, and that things will improve rapidly from here.
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Screw the S&P 500, oil price and gold. The most important index now is the UDW/VLCC index
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
China is attempting to refill its oil reserves. Chinese crude imports rose +2.2 million tons in August, to 37.9 million tons, marking their 2nd consecutive monthly increase. This brings the 2-month increase to ~9.0 million tons, or a ~33% recovery from the total drop between January and July this year. The increase in crude supply has also allowed China to ramp up fuel exports, with overseas sales of gasoline and diesel surging +29% last month. However, China's crude imports were down -23% year-over-year and -32% below this year's peak. Meanwhile, China’s massive oil inventories are estimated at more than 1.2 billion barrels, giving the country ample flexibility to reduce purchases as prices rise. China's massive oil stockpile is growing again.
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Here is a clip of Trump mispronouncing "Yosemite" as "Yo, Semite"
The Trump administration is planning to quietly sell part of Yosemite National Park to a private developer.
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
$RIG A thought provoked by ONGC contract announced today… 8Gs are incredible assets, but they are not the needle mover for fleet-wide incremental operating earnings. If history is a guide, when older vessel (today 6G) utilization gets tight, the needle is beginning to move in the right direction…
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
TRUMP: SEC CHAIR WORKING TO BRING HYPERLIQUID INTO US. Hyperliquid.
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
The US strategic oil reserve has hit the lowest level since 1983, per FT
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
$RIG Harsh environment Semisub Norge awarded 300 days of work at ~$497k dayrate in Norway, an 9% increase from current $456k dayrate through Nov 2027 Healthy market continues for eligible HE Semisubs in Norway 🇳🇴 Equinox also extended by 90 days at $400k in Australia for 2Q27
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Hi 👋
Dow Jones: 2026 vs. 2007⚠️ The chart below compares today’s market to that of 2007 the pattern formation just before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) hit. That period witnessed significant consequences and permanently changed the financial environment. Now we appear to have a replica, yet in a different and arguably more toxic environment that combines three major problematic economic and technical factors. Some would call it the perfect storm. Scary? You decide. She's beautiful.🦢
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
$NE has secured a 5-7 month contract for the GreatWhite (which is to be renamed) with BP commending in Q2 2027 directly preceding the AkerBP contract. DR $320K plus $5M mob fee. Great contracting! Looks like the "Norwayisation" of the rig is going well for NE. $RIG $VAL $ODL
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
LATEST strategic asset allocation in Family Offices ⇒ 2019-2025 ⇒ plans for 2026 UBS Global Family Office Report 2026
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Received this email. Nowhere does it say these are 3x levered ETFs. This is what you see in the 9th inning of a late stage bull, not early innings.
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TheDailyCompounder retweeted
Strait of Hormuz traffic is nonexistent #MacroEdge
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