BTCVIX retweeted
BEWARE THE EARLY VOTE!
NYTimes - Whatever happens tonight, the results will look very Democratic for the next half hour or longer - including in states where Democrats are considered underdogs, like Florida or South Carolina. That’s because most of these states report their early votes first, and the early vote was heavily Democratic this year. Republicans hope to counter with votes cast on Election Day, which will be reported later on.
BTCVIX retweeted
FINAL PREDICTION: U.S. Senate Forecast: November 3, 2026
🔴GOP: 53 Seats (=)
🔵DEMS: 47 Seats (=)
🔵 DEM Flips: 1
North Carolina
🔴GOP Flips: 1
Michigan
Margins (States under 15%)
Alaska: 🔴+ 0.9
Florida: 🔴+ 13.1
Georgia: 🔵+ 7.8
Iowa: 🔴+ 4.6
Kansas: 🔴+ 1.2
Maine: 🔴+ 2.9
Michigan: 🔴+ 0.3 (FLIP)
Minnesota: 🔵+ 3.0
Mississippi: 🔴+ 6.6
Montana: 🔴+ 10.6
Nebraska: 🔴+ 6.3
New Hampshire: 🔵+ 3.9
North Carolina: 🔵+ 7.2 (FLIP)
Ohio: 🔴+ 2.1
South Carolina: 🔴+ 2.9
Texas: 🔴+ 1.3
BTCVIX retweeted
It’s happening everywhere. The blue wave wasn’t even a puddle. Will be a few more hours before we can be truly confident of this.
It will be a huge condemnation of the prediction markets and polling.
BTCVIX retweeted
Like I said, betting Markets were manipulated to suppress voter turnout. I would like to see an investigation on campaigns using betting markets to pump up their candidate.
This primary and mid term cycle betting markets always looked like this. Jump one way until the day of and the rug pull.
BTCVIX retweeted
Orange County is red on e-day wow
Dems are getting annihilated by the e-day vote. Also this is near 2024 presidential turnout of election day votes, whereas the early vote was not 👀
BTCVIX retweeted
Democrats’ odds of retaking the Senate have fallen from 77% to 72% this morning, a net swing of 10% in Republicans’ favor.
This is going to prove to be the most accurate spreading of the entire election cycle and how we get polling to D+12/13 yet the electorate shift is probably around D+4/5 which is a solid R senate hold and the house is basically 50/50 toss up
BTCVIX retweeted
One of my hottest takes for this cycle is that the talk of an impending blue tsunami particularly in places like Texas and Kansas will be a motivating push for Rs to the polls.
BTCVIX retweeted
The only question that you should ask yourselves is What's more likely?
Polls underestimating Rs in Trump+13 states and states that Dems haven't won in 94 years?
OR
Are the polls right?
We're either getting a legendary polling miss or one of the bluest midterms in history.
BTCVIX retweeted
Hey @grok, be honest.
Bitcoin crashed after the last 3 US midterms.
2014: -61%
2018: -52%
2022: -26%
Midterms are tomorrow. Should we be scared?