Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
Hidalgo County becomes the second Texas county to exceed its 2022 *total* turnout. Hidalgo is a relatively large 92% Hispanic border county with 466K registered voters
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
This is a really good chart showing the racial diversity of major U.S. cities.
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
Prediction market traders went to Maine to poll voters.
We filmed it.
What happens when traders stop staring at screens and start knocking on doors?
@keendawg embedded with our contributor @TradeandMoney to find out.
youtu.be/gg1QZ7kl-Hw?si=WbQb…
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
My latest for @LarrySabato's Crystal Ball @Center4Politics: Final handicapping for the state attorney general races and secretary of state races. substack.com/home/post/p-222…
Here's @chriscooperwcu laying out the theory of the case for an NC-11 flip way back in June centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
Here's a list of every congressional district that we expect to flip, per our @TheArgumentMag/@SplitTicket_ model.
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
It's been 32 years since Democrats won a statewide race in Texas. So what would a win for them on Tuesday even look like?
The answer could vary depending on candidates' particular strengths and weaknesses. But as a general rule of thumb, they'll want to hit these marks:
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
In the eight years since Ohio last voted for a Democrat (Sherrod Brown, incidentally enough!), the state has seen some important changes under the hood.
Here's a handy set of benchmarks to watch as Democrats seek to flip the state on Tuesday.
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
A day before the end of early voting, the Democrats in North Carolina are dominating the vote. Unaffiliated turnout is way up, and the Republicans are at a lower vote share than they've been in 8 years.
The Carolina Forward Turnout Tracker: carolinaforward.org/news/the…
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
Before I visited Pennsylvania, everyone warned me that Philadelphia people are the toughest, most impatient people in America.
I believed them until I walked toward the front door of a Wawa gas station.
I was still forty feet away in the parking lot, walking between rows of cars.
A massive construction worker in steel-toe boots, carrying a twenty-four-ounce coffee in one hand and a paper-wrapped hoagie in the other, pushed open the glass door to leave. Then he saw me.
He stopped. He planted his boot against the bottom of the door. And he waited.
Forty feet is a very long distance when a grown man is holding a door for you in the wind.
In Japan, to make a stranger wait carries great shame. So I broke into that awkward half-jog every man performs when he wishes to show gratitude without looking like he is fleeing a crime.
"Go ahead, boss," he said as I passed.
Ten minutes later, as I walked out with my own sandwich, I saw an elderly woman locking her car thirty feet away.
I planted my foot against the glass. I held the door.
Another man behind me held the inner door. Within seconds we had formed an impromptu honor guard of grumpy men holding glass doors in complete silence.
Philadelphia may boo Santa Claus.
But inside the three-foot radius of a Wawa doorway, they have the manners of the imperial court.
Fascinating read from @keendawg
The WNBA's political activism is unparalleled in pro sports. And it’s placed the league on a collision course with Donald Trump. politico.com/news/magazine/2…
Nonstop narrative warfare across every platform, political ad inflation that prices out local businesses and down-ballot candidates, the most sophisticated data operations either party has ever deployed in the state; this is what’s ahead for North Carolina politico.com/news/magazine/2…
North Carolina is on a trajectory for the first billion-dollar Senate race ever; smart piece on next year's marquee Senate election by @AlexBaltzegar politico.com/news/magazine/2…
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
North Carolina is on track to be the first billion-dollar Senate race ever.
It may be a glimpse at the 2028 presidential campaign, and beyond. politico.com/news/magazine/2…
Yet another reason my @PhillyInquirer subsciption is worth every penny: this @lochlahn tick-tock on how the Jhoan Duran spectacle went down Friday night. Every Phillies fan is still talking about it; the Inky delivered a richly reported, great read on it by 9:50 am Sunday morning
Charlie Mahtesian retweeted
New from me at @POLITICOMag: What Thom Tillis' resignation tells us about swing state politics.
#ncpol #ncsen
politico.com/news/magazine/2…
Before you check out the NYC election returns, read this terrific @MichaelLangeNYC neighborhood by neighborhood analysis. Old school @The_Almanac vibe and command of these places.
NEW: The NYC Mayor's race, between Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani, is poised to be very close.
My analysis of FIVE bellwethers & battlegrounds, from Brooklyn to The Bronx:
michaellange.nyc/p/the-five-…



























