Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace) header
Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace) profile picture

Ryan Grace

@RyanFredGrace

Perspectives on options, vol, crypto, and markets. - Formerly tastytrade and tastylive - Building something new.

Joined April 2015
  • Tweets1.1K
  • Following609
  • Followers5.9K
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Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)Photo by Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
Ryan Grace retweeted
Mullet (@usemullet) profile picture
Mullet
@usemulletSep 15
days like today are why the old trading setups break senate votes on CLARITY at 2:15 ET. odds moving, perps repricing, funding flipping.. all at once. chart, funding, odds: one interface. thats what the modern trader expects.
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Some $BTC and crypto updates as the tape is looking much better. Weekly price momentum has shifted from bearish to neutral for bitcoin, $ETH, and $SOL. Could be the start of a much bigger move. Buying dips and looking for BTC 92k, ETH 3,200, and SOL 157. Also,👀ETH/BTC.
Crypto Market Price Momentum and Weekly Expected Moves - 8-27-26

ALT Crypto Market Price Momentum and Weekly Expected Moves - 8-27-26

ETH/BTC Weekly Chart - Bullish Momentum Shift - 8-27-26

ALT ETH/BTC Weekly Chart - Bullish Momentum Shift - 8-27-26

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> be citadel > circulate a note Fed week that a hike is coming > if no hike, then its a big mistake > Fed doesn't hike, market crashes and tanks semis > buys SALP's book at a steep discount impressive
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer) profile picturepeepeepoopoo@DeepDishEnjoyerJul 30
wow
Image from peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer)
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Safe to get back in the water?
zerohedge (@zerohedge) profile picturezerohedge
@zerohedgeJul 30
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS HAS EXITED ALL OF ITS PUBLIC EQUITY TRADES: CNBC
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Volatility derived trading ranges and momentum signals for $BTC and a few others as we head into the weekend. A bounce for bitcoin and ETH, but no change to the broader downtrend yet.
Crypto asset price momentum and implied volatility derived trading ranges for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE.

ALT Crypto asset price momentum and implied volatility derived trading ranges for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE.

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Oil's weekly price momentum has transitioned from bearish to neutral. - Slow moving, but often a good indicator of intermediate term price action. $105 now in play.
Crude oil chart showing price momentum shifting from bearish to neutral with a $105 upside target.

ALT Crude oil chart showing price momentum shifting from bearish to neutral with a $105 upside target.

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When do we get the TACO?
40%>$90
20%>$100
40%Oil is going to $150
5 votes • Final results
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bitcoin:native nearing the top of last week's expected move ~$66k. At current spot and vol, weekly volatility derived trading range is now 63k-69.8k. (Higher-high vs prior week.) Keep in mind BTC vol near multi-year lows.
Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace) profile pictureRyan Grace
@RyanFredGraceJul 15
Update: $BTC momentum has flipped to bullish on the daily timeframe, but still within a bearish weekly and monthly trend. We'd need a serious move higher into month end for those trends to reverse. Until then... Eyeing 61k-66k trading range.
Image from Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
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Ryan Grace retweeted
Zack Voell (@zackvoell) profile picture
Zack Voell
@zackvoellJul 18
Be greedy when others are fearful
Image from Zack Voell (@zackvoell)
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MOU is dead. No surprise. Watch Hyperliquid for an indication of where oil might open Sunday night.
Hyperliquid oil price chart

ALT Hyperliquid oil price chart

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Eli Lilly acquiring AtaiBeckley. $ATAI pipeline supercharged by $LLY AI. Imagine... DMT + AI
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Most of the names in $DRAM are now down -30% from ATH. Time to add? My view is this is a secular bull. Expect 30-40% corrections along the way, but we're going higher still.
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Update: $BTC momentum has flipped to bullish on the daily timeframe, but still within a bearish weekly and monthly trend. We'd need a serious move higher into month end for those trends to reverse. Until then... Eyeing 61k-66k trading range.
Image from Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace) profile pictureRyan Grace
@RyanFredGraceJul 8
ETH price momentum flipped back to bullish yesterday. But, will it hold? SOL signaled bullish on 7/1. BTC still neutral.
Image from Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
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Need to see BTC above its 200d at $74k before we get all excited again. Also: ETH 200d = $2,210 SOL 200d = $91
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ETH price momentum flipped back to bullish yesterday. But, will it hold? SOL signaled bullish on 7/1. BTC still neutral.
Image from Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
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Probably better trades than betting on a bounce in oil, but of course I can't help myself.
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Oil > $70 by the end of August?
56%Yes
44%No
18 votes • Final results
480
🎯
Rory Johnston (@Rory_Johnston) profile pictureRory Johnston
@Rory_JohnstonJun 29
Who could have possibly expected that a US-Iran MOU that was rushed to announce on Trump's birthday would have lacked that specifics and sufficiently mutual understanding that would have made it reliably durable, even during just the "60 day" nuclear negotiation phase?
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Compute, energy, crypto. If it doesn't touch these themes, I don't want it in my portfolio.
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While current crypto sentiment is apathetic at best, $AAVE is quietly up ~40% vs BTC and ETH over the past month. Using realized vol, the estimated weekly move is +/- $13 ($75 - $105 range).
Image from Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
Image from Ryan Grace (@RyanFredGrace)
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