Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd) profile picture
Joined October 2022
Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)Photo by Arnaud Picard (@arnaudpcd)
Arnaud Picard retweeted
Ken Paxton’s former top cop on why he’s voting for James Talarico: I spent 2 hours with James Talarico. Number one, I saw no deception. He answered all my difficult questions. He didn’t dodge anything. He hit it head on. I have been around politicians my entire life. I served 5 governors, I’ve met 4 presidents… And James Talarico is so different than other people I’ve encountered. I think he’s the man who needs to go to Washington DC, and Ken Paxton needs to go home.
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
Trump’s average gas prices now top Biden’s as midterms loom
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Former Republican US Senator Sheila Frahm endorses Adam Hamilton for Senate in Kansas (Frahm endorsed Roger Marshall back in 2020)
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Stuff like this could unironically flip Iowa or Kansas
Widespread precipitation is forecast for Election Day, with the heaviest activity centered over the Ozarks and rain extending across portions of the Great Plains, Midwest, and Texas.
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
This CNN poll that has Hamilton 49% Marshall 45% was also sampling 42% Republican and 26% Democrat... man......
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This is the first time I’ve seen this account become concerned that Republicans will lose the midterms.
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Late October is when polls starting collapsing for Harris, as they do for Dems in most years. This year is the opposite, Dems are clearly gaining the late momentum in several senate races
CNN KS POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS Oct. 20-26 LIKELY VOTERS Choice for Senate   NO CLEAR LEADER   Hamilton       49% Marshall       45%   Margin of error: +/-4.5% pts CNN ME POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS  Oct. 20-26 LIKELY VOTERS  Choice for Senate    NO CLEAR LEADER   Jackson         49%  Collins         45%    Margin of error: +/-4.5% pts MICHIGAN:   CNN MI POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS Oct. 20-27 LIKELY VOTERS Choice for Senate   El-Sayed       49% Rogers         42%   Margin of error: +/-4.7% pts CNN TX POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS Oct. 20-27 LIKELY VOTERS Choice for Senate   Talarico       49% Paxton         43%   Margin of error: +/-4.2% cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/…
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
The early vote in Texas was like R +12, not R +2 in 2022. Lmao this is way off.
Early Vote 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 in key states 2022 vs 2026 Texas: 2022: 🔴 Republicans +2 2026: 🔴 Republicans +1 Ohio: 2022: 🔵 Democrats +5 2026: 🔵 Democrats +5 Michigan: 2022: 🔵 Democrats +20 2026: 🔵 Democrats +15 (Via NBC | Per TargetSmart)
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
🚨 BREAKING: Texas Southern University students are now marching together to vote for James Talarico. Talarico is running on healthcare for all.
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
Go Vote Blue
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
Just voted all blue in big Texas 🥳🩵
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Elon Musk stopped posting about Talarico, which means he knows his boy Paxton is losing.
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
The GOP wouldn’t be doing all of this if Dan Sullivan (R) was winning, btw They have *nothing*
NewsNation: Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy says he won’t commit to certifying the US Senate race if Mary Peltola wins.
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It's on us to take our country back.
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
Rumors of Republicans giving up on Kansas. Vote. Now. Hamilton can win.
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Fox Carolina: Rep. Ralph Norman (R-SC) tells voters to “vote your conscience” for US Senate in South Carolina.
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The Honest Poll | 10/28-10/29 Generic congressional ballot 2026 (Likely voters) 🟦Democratic 54% 🟥Republican 41% —— (Registered voters) 🟦Democratic 52% 🟥Republican 40% Link to poll: thehonestpoll.com/polls/demo…
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TSU: 98% of Texans who have a favorable opinion of Jasmine Crockett are voting for James Talarico. ----- 68% of Texans who have a favorable opinion of John Cornyn are voting for Ken Paxton. #TexasSenate
TSU poll | 10/21-10/25 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟦James Talarico 49% 🟥Ken Paxton 47% 🟨Ted Brown 3% Link to poll: static1.squarespace.com/stat…
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The Argument/Verasight poll | 10/21-10/23 Generic congressional ballot 2026 (Likely voters) 🟦Democratic 55.4% (+10.8) 🟥Republican 44.6% —— (Registered voters) 🟦Democratic 54.7% (+9.4) 🟥Republican 45.3%
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Arnaud Picard retweeted
The collapse of GOP turnout across the board is insane to see. Even Republicans in Florida aren’t turning out in early vote/mail like usual, and there won’t be a surge in Election Day vote to save them This creates potential for surprise flips across the country
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