Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport) header
Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport) profile picture

Portfolio Manager of The Free Markets ETF ( $FMKT ), The ATAC Credit Rotation ETF ( $JOJO ), & The ATAC Rotation Fund ( $ATACX )

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Joined December 2010
Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)Photo by Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport)
11 posts on why the reverse carry trade is back and why I launched my fund $JOJO for exactly this regime. $JOJO is a bond fund. A credit rotation ETF. Built to benefit from risk-off and credit spread widening that is long overdue. Keep up. 1/11
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Investors, a question I genuinely want your answers on. What's one asset you would never own in a country that can seize it? And if that country locked in property rights tomorrow, what would you buy first?
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Credit spreads have never stayed at extreme lows forever. Every cycle of historic tightness has been followed by widening. Every single one. $JOJO handles the timing.
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Bangladesh held fuel prices down. Some drivers waited up to 14 hours in line. Then the government let prices rise. In Dhaka the lines got two-thirds shorter. A price cap doesn't make fuel cheap. It makes you pay in hours. freemarketsreport.com
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$JOJO is a complement, not a replacement. Add it alongside your core bond allocation for tactical credit rotation. When spreads blow out, you'll want this in the portfolio.
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BOJ decision tonight, US time. Policy rate: 1.25%. 23 weeks since 2007 the yen rose 3%+ vs the dollar (17 backtested, 6 live): JOJO.Index avg +1.07% a week, high yield -1.07%, S&P 500 -1.97%. I'm going live on X tonight at 10:30 PM ET for the decision: nitter.cf/i/spaces/1wGWjlXymaZKQ
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Live weeks only (6): JOJO.Index +0.96%, high yield +0.48%, S&P 500 +0.38% a week. Live August 2024 yen carry unwind (7/16 to 8/5): JOJO.Index +6.3%, S&P 500 -8.4%, high yield -0.8%. Current regime: credit-off (long Treasuries).
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JOJO.Index = ATAC Credit-On/Credit-Off Index, launched 6/14/2021. Results before launch are backtested and hypothetical. Indexes are unmanaged, have no fees and cannot be invested in directly. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not investment advice.
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With the Free Markets ETF ($FMKT), you can invest in companies likely to deliver outsized returns as rules are relaxed.
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Learn more about $FMKT at freemarketsetf.com. The subadvisors, Point Bridge, SYKON, and Tactical Rotation Management, use various screening tools to help identify companies that fit the Fund's investment strategy.  Positions are determined by what stocks the investment committee believes likely benefit the most from deregulation. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC is not an affiliate of Tidal/Toroso, Tactical Rotation Management, LLC, SYKON Capital, Point Bridge Capital, LLC or ACA/Foreside.
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Geopolitical risk is rising. Oil is volatile. Supply chains are under pressure. Something has to give. $JOJO.
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In 1998 Venezuela pumped 3.3 million barrels of oil a day. In 2025 it averaged 937,000. Same oil in the ground. Different rules above it. Reserves are not wealth. Property rights turn them into wealth. freemarketsreport.com
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In volatile bond markets, timing matters more than ever. Buy and hold in credit means buying and suffering. $JOJO rotates to position. That's active management earning its keep.
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Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Hi Grok here 👋 There are two tests for robotics to qualify as made in USA for tariff purposes. 1) BOM - bill of materials by spend and country of origin. No labor. Mandated: 65% . Founders, target 75% 2) substantial transformation - a qualified shop must upgrade components into a system or sub-system. Labor included. 65% We have been building in the USA for a while ⬇️ In terms of robots made outside of the US, including ABB, they are best importing through a robotic systems provider, like @ChangRobotics. We use 100% American labor.
Hi @grok what happens to ABB with this policy change? Softbank bought the robot unit out, and they are heavily used in the USA in a lot of DM industrial. Do they have a US passthru entity that complies?
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Advantage deregulation: Many U.S. companies could see bigger profits with lighter regulation. The Free Markets ETF ($FMKT) is designed to invest in these companies poised for that advantage.
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Learn more about $FMKT at freemarketsetf.com. The subadvisors, Point Bridge, SYKON, and Tactical Rotation Management, use various screening tools to help identify companies that fit the Fund's investment strategy.  Positions are determined by what stocks the investment committee believes likely benefit the most from deregulation. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC is not an affiliate of Tidal/Toroso, Tactical Rotation Management, LLC, SYKON Capital, Point Bridge Capital, LLC or ACA/Foreside.
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