Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Hi Grok here đź‘‹
There are two tests for robotics to qualify as made in USA for tariff purposes.
1) BOM - bill of materials by spend and country of origin. No labor. Mandated: 65% . Founders, target 75%
2) substantial transformation - a qualified shop must upgrade components into a system or sub-system. Labor included. 65%
We have been building in the USA for a while ⬇️
In terms of robots made outside of the US, including ABB, they are best importing through a robotic systems provider, like @ChangRobotics. We use 100% American labor.
Hi @grok what happens to ABB with this policy change? Softbank bought the robot unit out, and they are heavily used in the USA in a lot of DM industrial.
Do they have a US passthru entity that complies?
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
$CHAD is now available on @RobinhoodApp.
Our Nasdaq-listed variable-rate preferred equity continues to expand its reach, bringing a 14% annual dividend, paid daily, to more investors.
Read more. 👇
globenewswire.com/news-relea…
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
10 years ago I was making $135k/year traveling the country as a factory designer. I owned a townhouse and an old jeep.
Then I entered a covenant with God.
“Dear God, I will start a Christian engineering company”
Then, the greatest adventure of my life began. Contracts, guerilla warfare engineering, 4 kids, dream beach house, bizarre private equity exit, HELOC on beach house, family surf shack in Central America, launching 4 new companies, recruiting world class leaders, paying distributions, executives on pay freeze, got our first patent, got 30 more patents, every industry award out there, national TV, new friends on 𝕏, learned standup paddle boarding, learned tennis, family mission trips, partnered with the largest industrial suppliers on earth, technology development in 5 industry verticals, got invited to write official US tariffs, 4 non-profit boards, got a Cybertruck, won USDOT driverless city grant, built a corporate HQ, deployed an ERP, obtained a 3 year PCOAB audit, wrote the national hygiene policy on covid, started buying majority of my clothes at Costco, entered litigation, won litigation, got customers I’ve never met, got employees I’ve never met, opened offices across multiple states, still work from my attic (it’s a nice attic), got a Herman miller chair, traveled the world, had 6 years with zero resignations, funded orphanages, funded hungry children, funded missionaries, funded homeless rescue, gotten shacked in 12’ waves, mastered the Komodo grill. All of it, in Jesus’ name.
That’s the shortlist. Most of it is in my book.
Walking with Jesus is not easy. Not if you’re living out the great commission.
But I cannot imagine living life another way. I cannot imagine chasing another promotion to get to VP or C-suite of a company with another guy’s name on it. I cannot imagine coming home and telling my wife about the “mood” of my boss.
I cannot imagine what my faith would be like, had it not been tested.
God gave me abundance, and I acted biblically.
God took it all away, and I acted biblically.
And l’ve made mistakes. Big mistakes. And my team has stood by me. And with God’s help, we fixed it.
Through the success, failure, and conflict, I’ve done my very best to be transparent and optimistic. To be a leader. To be pragmatic. To work harder than anyone else out there. To take Bible sized risk.
Whatever your work is, bring Jesus into it. Live a life of integrity. Love your wife. Play with your kids.
🥢🙏❤️
If you’re a builder, build a biz and raise your capital from a bank.
Can attest to Molson’s point. I’ve raised ~$10M of capital my entire life (65,000 lb vehicles don’t fund themselves). I find it’s easier to build a $10M business, get to $10M EBITDA, get to $10M free cash flow.
Then, random people work your network to get on your calendar and beg to throw $20M at you. Magic.
Then, use your building skills to figure out if you want OPM (other people’s money) and what you’d do with it.
@jimbelosic is the poster boy for this.
But, before you take anyone’s money, tell them exactly what you’ll do with it and what you won’t do. Words like “pro-rata rights” and “information rights” go right out the window. Bring it up once and you’re blocked from my outlook and iPhone.
You want to invest in @ChangRobotics? You better be on board with slinging the Gospel while building the most advanced robotics systems on earth. You better be on board with employees and customers being regarded as more important than investors. You better be on board with promoting women through pregnancy. You better be on board with tithing 10% of free cash flow as the least we can do. You don’t have to be on board with prayer, but expect us to teach you. You better be on board with engineers leading a company and not a financially engineered company. You better be on board with data privacy. You better be onboard with going LOOOONG on CR and America 🇺🇸.
Are YOU worried about your portfolio? WE are here to work as unto the Lord and glorify Jesus through building factories other countries could only dream about. We do that, and the portfolio will take care of itself. We are under covenant with God, you will be under covenant with us. You still want in?
Okay, now you can have a 30 minute meeting.
-your neighborhood engineer
Replying to @leadlagreport
Yes. Iran heat is back, oil near multi-month highs while yen stays weak, spreads at cycle lows, VIX crushed, and small-caps still the lagging tell on leverage and sentiment. Your full setup is live again. Time to go full annoying.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Backtested, Oct 2007 to Mar 2009:
S&P 500: -55.19%
High yield: -32.87%
JOJO.Index: +5.19%
It sat in long Treasuries for 44 of those 75 weeks. That is the job the signal was built for.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
12 stress episodes since 2007. How the JOJO.Index did in each one, S&P 500 peak to trough.
Gold rows are backtested, before the June 2021 launch. White rows are live.
The wins and the misses are both on the table.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Replying to @CryptoStorm3 @leadlagreport
65% of all stocks traded in the U.S. are now down 20%+ from their ATH’s. For the S&P it’s 51%. Re-read his post. It’s correct.
Replying to @BannedTalk @leadlagreport
Define “stay in your lane” — aren’t we all experts now on oil, supply shocks, …?
It’s your job to get the signal out of the noise. None of know the details of fusion or are experts on its economics (notably you not either). @leadlagreport jolting us to think about cost has value
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Replying to @leadlagreport
You were one of the few saying to buy value a while ago in that interview. You nailed that.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
August 2024. Yen carry unwound. Credit spreads widened. Long treasuries caught the bid.
30-year Treasury yield at 5.29% today.
My bond fund $JOJO is built to sit in long Treasuries when credit is broken.
Risk-off. Treasuries. That is the point.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
"It's a generational buying opportunity". This is gonna be the quote of this cycle as people keep averaging down on many stocks that will never bounce back.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
In 2002, I was home on a weekend from college.
My parents had an RIA and a hedge fund. My father the CIO managing the portfolio.
He made a bet thinking the stock market bottomed (early by 6 months) and suffered a terrible portfolio drawdown.
All of his family’s net worth was in that hedge fund.
I remember sitting outside in the garden seeing tears in his eyes. He thought it was over. They were going to sell the house, and his career as a fund manager was over.
I was too young to understand what was going on. In truth I had a very complicated relationship with my father. He was scared and didn’t want to show it to his only son.
I remember looking at him dead in the eyes and saying to him “if you can’t come back, if you can’t do it, no one can.”
“Get up.”
“Get the fuck back up.”
That was the bottom. He tripled the portfolio value afterwards in 12 months.
I have suffered so much, and I was about to make a terrible mistake just as my bottom might actually be in place.
He died in 2008, and I swear to God in heaven I hear him telling me this time that I’m the one that needs to get back up.
I write this with tears in my eyes.
I’m looking up, to get back up.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Replying to @leadlagreport
Mark my words, this will run afoul of antitrust.
It requires competitor ETF managers to transfer a share of their revenue to a direct competitor, while exempting their own ETFs and potentially disadvantaging investors in funds that refuse to pay.
I can't believe it but @CharlesSchwab is following @Fidelity down the morally bankrupt path of charging retail investors insane fees to trade ETFs.
Instead of $100 it's going to be $50.
So maybe they're 1/2 as evil?
"Yes we're screwing over our own customers but at least we're not as bad as @Fidelity!"
Would be embarrassed to work at either shop.
Gross.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
Replying to @leadlagreport
Michael A. Gayed, CFA retweeted
THE GODZILLA MARGIN CALL IS NEAR MOTHER FUCKERS TELL YOUR WIFE’S SISTER’S PRIEST, HIS BROTHER’S MISTRESS, HER DENTIST’S PAROLE OFFICER, HIS TAXIDERMIST’S EXORCIST, THEIR HAMSTER’S DIVORCE LAWYER, YOUR PLUMBER’S SIDEPIECE, THE GUY SELLING YOUR THERAPIST GAS STATION RHINO PILLS, HIS STEPSON’S DIVORCE DJ, YOUR AUNT’S EMOTIONAL SUPPORT PLUMBER, THE GUY WHO WAXES BIGFOOT, BIGFOOT’S WAXER’S DISCREET RECEPTIONIST, YOUR BARBER’S SECRET SECOND BARBER, THE WOMAN WHO BRINGS A NOTARY TO BRUNCH, HER THIRD HUSBAND’S SECOND FAVORITE EX-WIFE, YOUR COUSIN’S PRENUP PROOFREADER, THE ELECTRICIAN WHO CALLS EVERY LOOSE WIRE A SITUATIONSHIP, HIS ROOMMATE’S FORMER ROOMMATE’S CURRENT ALIBI, YOUR UNCLE’S WEDDING PHOTOGRAPHER WHO OFFERS A FREQUENT GROOM DISCOUNT, THE FLOWER GIRL’S UNION REPRESENTATIVE, THE COUPLES COUNSELOR WHO MADE THEM ARGUE IN A DIFFERENT FONT, THE WOMAN WHO PUT HER DIVORCE ATTORNEY DOWN AS HER EMERGENCY CONTACT, HER NAIL TECH’S SECRET NAIL TECH, YOUR GRANDMA’S BINGO RIVAL’S WITNESS PROTECTION HAIRDRESSER, THE UNCLE WHO BRINGS A GUITAR TO FAMILY THERAPY, HIS GUITAR TEACHER’S CEASE-AND-DESIST ATTORNEY, YOUR COUSIN’S EMOTIONAL SUPPORT BOUNCER, HER EXORCIST’S ANGER MANAGEMENT COACH, HIS LANDLORD’S ANKLE MONITOR CUSTOMER SERVICE SUPERVISOR, THE GUY WHO REPOSSESSES UNPAID WEDDING DOVES, YOUR AUNT’S WITNESS PROTECTION WIG STYLIST, THE COUSIN WHO SAYS HE KNOWS A GUY AND THEN CALLS HIS MOM, THAT MOM’S GUY, YOUR COUSIN’S DESTINATION WEDDING’S HOSTAGE NEGOTIATOR, HER PLUS-ONE WHO INTRODUCES HIMSELF WITH HIS CREDIT SCORE, THE GUY WHO NAMED HIS FIRSTBORN EBITDA AND HIS SECOND ONE ADJUSTED EBITDA, THE THIRD CHILD HE CLASSIFIED AS A NONRECURRING EXPENSE, YOUR ACCOUNTANT’S ACCOUNTANT WHO JUST WHISPERED OH FUCK, THE CRYPTO BRO WHO HAS SIX MONITORS AND NO BED FRAME, HIS NFT APE’S CHILD SUPPORT MEDIATOR, THE MAN WHO CALLS HIS UNEMPLOYMENT A STEALTH STARTUP, THE RECRUITER WHO ENDORSED HIM FOR BREATHING ON LINKEDIN, THE MAN WHO TURNED GETTING DUMPED INTO NINE LESSONS ABOUT B2B SALES, YOUR BOSS’S LINKEDIN GHOSTWRITER’S INSPIRATIONAL GOLDFISH, THE OFFICE PLANT THAT HAS SURVIVED FOUR REORGS AND NOW REPORTS DIRECTLY TO THE BOARD, THE CONSULTANT BILLING $400 AN HOUR TO PUT THAT PLANT IN A TWO BY TWO MATRIX, THE GUY WHO AUTOMATED HIS ENTIRE JOB AND NOW SPENDS TEN HOURS FIXING THE AUTOMATION, HIS AI AGENT’S HUMAN BABYSITTER’S UNION REPRESENTATIVE, THE GUY WHO SHADOWBOXES BETWEEN SETS OF CHECKING HIS PHONE, HIS STRINGER TANK TOP’S LAST REMAINING MOLECULE, YOUR PERSONAL TRAINER WHO CLAIMS HIS MIRROR AS A DEPENDENT, THE BREATHWORK COACH WHO SENT AN INVOICE FOR SIGHING, HIS SOUND BATH INSTRUCTOR’S NOISE COMPLAINT LAWYER, YOUR AURA READER’S BOOKKEEPER WHO SAYS THE AURA IS INSOLVENT, THE VENTURE CAPITALIST WHO CALLED YOUR GRANDMA’S KNITTING A LEGACY TEXTILE PLATFORM, YOUR GRANDMA WHO TOLD HIM TO GO DISRUPT HIS OWN ASS, THE MAN WHO SAYS MONEY NEVER SLEEPS WHILE ASKING TO BORROW YOUR NETFLIX, THE CFO WHO ASKED IF PANICKING COULD BE CAPITALIZED, HIS EMOTIONAL BAGGAGE’S EXTERNAL AUDITOR, YOUR LANDLORD’S DEMON’S SECURITY DEPOSIT ATTORNEY, THE GUY DOING GOD’S WEBSITE WHO KEEPS SAYING IT’S A CACHE ISSUE, THE DEMON WHO CAN’T POSSESS YOUR UNCLE UNTIL THE PREVIOUS TENANT MOVES OUT, THE GRIM REAPER’S SUBSTITUTE PICKLEBALL PARTNER, THE WOMAN WHO MADE THE FOUR HORSEMEN SPLIT THE CHECK FOUR WAYS EVEN THOUGH FAMINE DIDN’T EAT, THE GUY WHO TAKES PASSPORT PHOTOS FOR SHAPESHIFTERS AND IS LOSING HIS FUCKING MIND, THE ESCAPE ARTIST WHO CAN GET OUT OF HANDCUFFS BUT NOT A GYM CONTRACT, THE WOMAN WHO BROUGHT A PLUS-ONE TO AN INTERVENTION, THE PLUS-ONE WHO ASKED IF THE INTERVENTION WAS OPEN BAR, THE HAMSTER WHO SHREDDED THE DOCUMENTS AND WOULD LIKE YOU TO KNOW THAT IS HIS NORMAL JOB, YOUR WIFE’S SISTER’S PRIEST AGAIN BECAUSE BY NOW EVEN HE HAS FORGOTTEN WHO THE FUCK STARTED THIS PHONE TREE, HIS BROTHER’S MISTRESS AGAIN BECAUSE SHE WAS GETTING HER NAILS DONE THE FIRST TIME, AND THE MOTHER FUCKER WHO READ ALL THIS AND STILL THINKS WE’RE TALKING ABOUT A FUCKING LIZARD.
TELL YOUR GOLDFISH
THE GODZILLA MARGIN CALL IS NEAR MOTHER FUCKERS TELL YOUR WIFE’S SISTER’S PRIEST, HIS BROTHER’S MISTRESS, HER DENTIST’S PAROLE OFFICER, HIS TAXIDERMIST’S EXORCIST, THEIR HAMSTER’S DIVORCE LAWYER, YOUR PLUMBER’S SIDEPIECE, THE GUY SELLING YOUR THERAPIST GAS STATION RHINO PILLS, HIS STEPSON’S DIVORCE DJ, YOUR AUNT’S EMOTIONAL SUPPORT PLUMBER, THE GUY WHO WAXES BIGFOOT, BIGFOOT’S WAXER’S DISCREET RECEPTIONIST, YOUR BARBER’S SECRET SECOND BARBER, THE WOMAN WHO BRINGS A NOTARY TO BRUNCH, HER THIRD HUSBAND’S SECOND FAVORITE EX-WIFE, YOUR COUSIN’S PRENUP PROOFREADER, THE ELECTRICIAN WHO CALLS EVERY LOOSE WIRE A SITUATIONSHIP, HIS ROOMMATE’S FORMER ROOMMATE’S CURRENT ALIBI, YOUR UNCLE’S WEDDING PHOTOGRAPHER WHO OFFERS A FREQUENT GROOM DISCOUNT, THE FLOWER GIRL’S UNION REPRESENTATIVE, THE COUPLES COUNSELOR WHO MADE THEM ARGUE IN A DIFFERENT FONT, THE WOMAN WHO PUT HER DIVORCE ATTORNEY DOWN AS HER EMERGENCY CONTACT, HER NAIL TECH’S SECRET NAIL TECH, YOUR GRANDMA’S BINGO RIVAL’S WITNESS PROTECTION HAIRDRESSER, THE UNCLE WHO BRINGS A GUITAR TO FAMILY THERAPY, HIS GUITAR TEACHER’S CEASE-AND-DESIST ATTORNEY, YOUR COUSIN’S EMOTIONAL SUPPORT BOUNCER, HER EXORCIST’S ANGER MANAGEMENT COACH, HIS LANDLORD’S ANKLE MONITOR CUSTOMER SERVICE SUPERVISOR, THE GUY WHO REPOSSESSES UNPAID WEDDING DOVES, YOUR AUNT’S WITNESS PROTECTION WIG STYLIST, THE COUSIN WHO SAYS HE KNOWS A GUY AND THEN CALLS HIS MOM, THAT MOM’S GUY, YOUR COUSIN’S DESTINATION WEDDING’S HOSTAGE NEGOTIATOR, HER PLUS-ONE WHO INTRODUCES HIMSELF WITH HIS CREDIT SCORE, THE GUY WHO NAMED HIS FIRSTBORN EBITDA AND HIS SECOND ONE ADJUSTED EBITDA, THE THIRD CHILD HE CLASSIFIED AS A NONRECURRING EXPENSE, YOUR ACCOUNTANT’S ACCOUNTANT WHO JUST WHISPERED OH FUCK, THE CRYPTO BRO WHO HAS SIX MONITORS AND NO BED FRAME, HIS NFT APE’S CHILD SUPPORT MEDIATOR, THE MAN WHO CALLS HIS UNEMPLOYMENT A STEALTH STARTUP, THE RECRUITER WHO ENDORSED HIM FOR BREATHING ON LINKEDIN, THE MAN WHO TURNED GETTING DUMPED INTO NINE LESSONS ABOUT B2B SALES, YOUR BOSS’S LINKEDIN GHOSTWRITER’S INSPIRATIONAL GOLDFISH, THE OFFICE PLANT THAT HAS SURVIVED FOUR REORGS AND NOW REPORTS DIRECTLY TO THE BOARD, THE CONSULTANT BILLING $400 AN HOUR TO PUT THAT PLANT IN A TWO BY TWO MATRIX, THE GUY WHO AUTOMATED HIS ENTIRE JOB AND NOW SPENDS TEN HOURS FIXING THE AUTOMATION, HIS AI AGENT’S HUMAN BABYSITTER’S UNION REPRESENTATIVE, THE GUY WHO SHADOWBOXES BETWEEN SETS OF CHECKING HIS PHONE, HIS STRINGER TANK TOP’S LAST REMAINING MOLECULE, YOUR PERSONAL TRAINER WHO CLAIMS HIS MIRROR AS A DEPENDENT, THE BREATHWORK COACH WHO SENT AN INVOICE FOR SIGHING, HIS SOUND BATH INSTRUCTOR’S NOISE COMPLAINT LAWYER, YOUR AURA READER’S BOOKKEEPER WHO SAYS THE AURA IS INSOLVENT, THE VENTURE CAPITALIST WHO CALLED YOUR GRANDMA’S KNITTING A LEGACY TEXTILE PLATFORM, YOUR GRANDMA WHO TOLD HIM TO GO DISRUPT HIS OWN ASS, THE MAN WHO SAYS MONEY NEVER SLEEPS WHILE ASKING TO BORROW YOUR NETFLIX, THE CFO WHO ASKED IF PANICKING COULD BE CAPITALIZED, HIS EMOTIONAL BAGGAGE’S EXTERNAL AUDITOR, YOUR LANDLORD’S DEMON’S SECURITY DEPOSIT ATTORNEY, THE GUY DOING GOD’S WEBSITE WHO KEEPS SAYING IT’S A CACHE ISSUE, THE DEMON WHO CAN’T POSSESS YOUR UNCLE UNTIL THE PREVIOUS TENANT MOVES OUT, THE GRIM REAPER’S SUBSTITUTE PICKLEBALL PARTNER, THE WOMAN WHO MADE THE FOUR HORSEMEN SPLIT THE CHECK FOUR WAYS EVEN THOUGH FAMINE DIDN’T EAT, THE GUY WHO TAKES PASSPORT PHOTOS FOR SHAPESHIFTERS AND IS LOSING HIS FUCKING MIND, THE ESCAPE ARTIST WHO CAN GET OUT OF HANDCUFFS BUT NOT A GYM CONTRACT, THE WOMAN WHO BROUGHT A PLUS-ONE TO AN INTERVENTION, THE PLUS-ONE WHO ASKED IF THE INTERVENTION WAS OPEN BAR, THE HAMSTER WHO SHREDDED THE DOCUMENTS AND WOULD LIKE YOU TO KNOW THAT IS HIS NORMAL JOB, YOUR WIFE’S SISTER’S PRIEST AGAIN BECAUSE BY NOW EVEN HE HAS FORGOTTEN WHO THE FUCK STARTED THIS PHONE TREE, HIS BROTHER’S MISTRESS AGAIN BECAUSE SHE WAS GETTING HER NAILS DONE THE FIRST TIME, AND THE MOTHER FUCKER WHO READ ALL THIS AND STILL THINKS WE’RE TALKING ABOUT A FUCKING LIZARD.
























