MacroKurd

If you are China+Iran, what would your optimal strategy be here? Imo, you muddle through till day(s) before midterms elections.. then agree to deal. This way you avoid conflict post midterms + not enough time for Trump admin to gain popularity for midterm elections. Optimal!

Perhaps the Iranians are waiting for post Israel elections too in a week. Sweet spot = between Israel elections and US midterms nitter.cf/macrokurd/status/21077…

Se isso aqui for levado à frente, a Bolsa colapsa em 30% e o Dólar vai para R$ 6,00/R$ 6,50 na largada. Resumindo: juro baixado na canetada, queima de reservas cambiais para segurar artificialmente o Real. O simples fato disso estar sendo avaliado já é o suficiente para implodir o mercado. Em pouto tempo, o Brasil voltaria à década de 80, com hiperinflação e baixo crescimento crônico.

Is China stepping in more assertively to advance US-Iran negotiations and help shape a more stable Middle Eastern regional order aligned with its own interests? The simultaneous presence in Beijing of Oman's Sultan and Ali Bagheri Kani, deputy secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, is intriguing. Chinese FM Wang Yi told Bagheri that Beijing supports Iran in defending its sovereignty and security, while emphasizing diplomacy as the path to resolving the conflict. Al Mayadeen, a Lebanese outlet close to Hezbollah and the Iran-aligned regional camp, reports that a trilateral meeting in Beijing, coinciding with visits by Oman's Sultan and a senior Iranian security official, explored reviving Omani mediation between Tehran and Washington, backed by Chinese economic and security guarantees. These claims remain unconfirmed. Yet such a framework could address a central obstacle to any agreement: Tehran's profound distrust that Washington will honor its commitments. Chinese guarantees could help underpin a more durable settlement, while Beijing has its own compelling interest in preventing renewed conflict and securing energy imports from the Persian Gulf.

I am going to write something below that should be seen as the musings of one who celebrated – and still celebrates – Lula’s victory over Bolsonaro Jr. Here it goes: I cannot for the life of me justify why o why Brazil’s courts had to demand of Bolsonaro that he hands over his passport the moment he lost the election. That he disputed the veracity of the election result is a sign of a faulty character, evidence that he is a bad loser. BUT, he had every right to being a bad loser; to dispute, rightly or wrongly, any result. As for the argument that he was being investigated for other misdemeanours or crimes, that doesn’t wash either: What would have happened if Bolsonaro had won the election? Would the judges also prevent him from travelling abroad, as President-elect? I very much doubt that – which means that the judges were conflating executive and judicial powers. To those who tell me that the Bolsonaro clan is a fascistic, criminal family, my reply is: You and I may very well think that. Alas, the judiciary has no right to use its powers to indict and to pursue someone because – or immediately after – they lost an election. It is shameful, to be precise. And it is also dangerous for those of us on the left who know what it means to be banned and hounded by rogue judges and police commissioners. But I also have a message to Bolsonaro supporters, or those sitting on the fence, who assume that Lula is somehow behind the judges. He is not! This is the same court that imprisoned, falsely, Lula himself. What we have in Brazil is a judiciary that overreaches and habitually crosses the line that ought to separate judicial from political power. It is such a shame that a judge took it upon himself to go after Bolsonaro on the eve of his defeat and, in doing so, to sully Lula’s stupendous victory. One last point that my comrades in Brazil should note: If Bolsonaro and Rubio wanted to mount a campaign against Lula and Brazilian democracy they could never have been aided better than by that judge’s reckless writ.

Open racism and contempt for citizens of his own state