Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird) header
Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird) profile picture

Personal account / CPA / Former: Exec Dir of @ArkansasPERS, Budget Director for Gov. @AsaHutchinson, & @ArkansasHouse member

Bentonville, Arkansas
Joined June 2007
Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)Photo by Duncan Baird (@DuncanBaird)
Disappointing night for me as my kids didn’t come home with any Krackels or Sixlets.
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“Best way to sandbox an AI,” Musk said. “Put it on a Delta flight.”
A few weeks ago, the Secret Service locked Jensen Huang, Elon Musk, Sergey Brin, Satya Nadella, Lisa Su, and Michael Dell in a room in Washington, DC. While they waited for President Trump, Huang—who chooses not to own a jet—complained about a recent commercial plane ride. It had no Wi-Fi. “Best way to sandbox an AI,” Musk said. “Put it on a Delta flight.” All six were about to receive national medals from the President. The ceremony was the idea of Michael Kratsios, Trump's chief science advisor. He is 39, a Peter Thiel protégé, and has worked for Trump every day of both terms. For decades, the office Kratsios runs was known mostly for reports on things like algae blooms. Kratsios himself was barely known in Trump's first term. Now he sits between the President and tech royalty. He is one of a handful of people shaping America's AI policy, and the White House's point man on nuclear, space, and quantum. In our latest feature, @harrytlambert shows how the fight to regulate AI and reform American science runs through his office. colossus.com/article/michael…
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I imagine this is the car that Neil Armstrong would drive.
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Duncan Baird retweeted
We’re in Little Rock, Arkansas. Our biggest fast food discovery of this trip has been Sonic. We’re eating there all the time. Our friend who arrived last week is the biggest fan and is forcing us to go there pretty much every second day. It’s slop food, but it’s so good.
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Duncan Baird retweeted
Nationally, Arkansas baseball ranked #1 among 1,048 D-I teams outside football and men's basketball that reported ticket revenue. @UNDmhockey was 2nd ($4.35M) and UConn women's basketball 3rd ($4.25M). Arkansas alone took in 8.5% of all D-I baseball ticket revenue.
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Duncan Baird retweeted
We just made it to Arkansas. A new state for all of us! I want to use this post to say thank you to VW who offered us to use one of their cars for this roadtrip so we don’t need to worry about the rental car hassle we had on the last trip.
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Duncan Baird retweeted
"Domains are shallow, except the one I understand and work in." —said too many people too often
"Most domains are fundamentally pretty shallow," says @RyanGreenblatt. A concise statement of what the superintelligence worldview gets wrong, IMO. My view is the opposite: many domains are surprisingly deep, and AI won't be able to "quickly pick up a bunch of domains."
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Duncan Baird retweeted
If Anthropic released the iPhone
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Duncan Baird retweeted
Replying to @QTRResearch
At least he got the uncorrelated returns part right.
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Quality did not always rise. During the Great Depression, quality fell 7% as Sears shifted toward cheaper goods: silk vanished from apparel and curtains became two feet shorter — the "trading down" pattern theory predicts. (9/9)
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Duncan Baird retweeted
The irony of using a data center to generate this image and post it on X is outstanding
HOCHUL ENACTS NATION’S FIRST STATEWIDE DATA CENTER MORATORIUM
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Exciting to see the Trump Account deposit for one of our children today. It’s not just a gift of $1,000 but also a gift of ownership and time, two ingredients that give compound growth a chance to do its work. @InvestAmerica24 @altcap
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Duncan Baird retweeted
A good example of one of the ways in which the "good old days" were terrible: In the 1880s, the average US rural housewife had to haul water into the house 8-10 times a day, 36 tons of water a year. And also haul out ashes & waste. (From “The Rise and Fall of American Growth”).
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Duncan Baird retweeted
Some things about our child protection regime strike me as impossible to square with the Bill of Rights. How can the government possibly be able to tell someone he can't be alone with his kids based on anonymous double hearsay, even temporarily? petebuttigieg.substack.com/p…
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Every day I see something I am convinced I hallucinated.
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Duncan Baird retweeted
Imagining European tourists going home and saying yeah I guess trains and walkable urbanism are okay, but have you had Twinkies, biscuits and gravy, and ranch dressing?
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Duncan Baird retweeted
And the race to the bottom begins
BOOM *OpenAI Considers Drastic Price Cuts, Anticipating Costly War For Users With Anthropic -- WSJ
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Replying to @anuroopk4u @pmarca
Since the 1970s, many people who wanted housing to be more affordable supported rules that made it harder to build. The result was less housing, more scarcity, and higher prices. We made housing unaffordable in the name of affordability.
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Duncan Baird retweeted
Q: How are job postings for software engineers rising rapidly despite AI agents automating coding? A: Because there’s far more code to manage than ever before. We’re already seeing a 14x YoY increase in GitHub commits, and it’s accelerating. AI has dramatically lowered the cost of writing code, so it’s now being used across far more businesses, applications, and use cases. We’re at the beginning of a massive productivity boom driven by the proliferation of bespoke software throughout the entire economy. Coding has been AI’s breakout use case this year. The fact that it’s increased demand for software engineers — rather than decreased it — should call into question the entire “AI will cause mass job loss” narrative.
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